After weeks of warbling, wobbles and a few squabbles, this year's X Factor hopefuls have been whittled down to the final 12. But how much hope do they actually have? Susan Griffin weighs up their chances
WE'VE been watching wannabe pop stars, rockers and soul divas battle it out to claim The X Factor glory for more than a decade now.
Talent, of course, goes some of the way to getting you to the finals. But all sorts of other, sometimes mysterious, factors can play a part, including that either-you've-got-it-or-you-haven't star quality, a heartbreaking but relatable backstory, looks that win fans (but don't alienate too many others), and just the right amount of confidence.
Here's this year's final 12...
THE GIRLS
Mentor: Cheryl Fernandez-Versini
Lauren Platt, 16, from Essex
Story so far: The teenager scored four yeses in her room audition and had a standing ovation at the arena stage.
Her parents reunited last December after a six-year separation. She previously came close to getting the part of Louise Mitchell in EastEnders, but it eventually went to her best friend.
Chances? Cheryl wondered whether Lauren was too young but couldn't deny the teen's talent. Mature beyond her years and boasting a soulful voice, she's one to watch.
Chloe Jasmine, 23, from West London
Story so far: The posh model received brilliant feedback at the room audition, where she was likened to Marilyn Monroe.
You might recognise Chloe from her appearance on TV modelling competition The Face. She also reportedly turned down a role in Game Of Thrones to take part in the show.
Chances: Her bluesy style suits old school tunes, but how will she fare with contemporary songs?
Stephanie Nala, 20, from Hertfordshire
Story so far: Suffered from nerves during her room audition but got it together and received four yeses at the arena audition., with Simon adding: "There's something sweet about you."
She was originally in a band called The Luminites who were in the final of 2013's Britain's Got Talent. The band split earlier this year.
Chances: Stephanie's self-confidence is low. Will the live shows prove too much and overwhelm her?
THE BOYS
Mentor: Mel B
Andrea Faustini, 20, from Rome
Story so far: The shy Italian wowed the judges at his room audition and reduced both Cheryl and Mel B to tears with his rendition of I Didn't Know My Own Strength at Boot Camp. The Spice Girls fan, who studied Chinese and Korean at college, loves pug dogs (he wore a pug jumper at his first audition), and would apparently like a pair of pooches called Simon and Cowell.
Chances: His amazing voice has earned him a legion of fans and he's already one of the favourites to win.
Jake Quickenden, 26, from Scunthorpe
Story so far: After a faltering start and a change of song, he eventually earned four yeses (and a hug from Mel B) at his room audition, and was the first of the chaps to secure a seat at Boot Camp.
What we know about him: Jake lost his younger brother to cancer in 2012. The same year, he reached the Judges' Houses stage of the competition.
Chances: Jake is arguably the weakest singer in his category, but he's good-looking and everyone loves an underdog.
Paul Akister, 25, from Lancashire
Story so far: Impressed the judges with his rendition of Jealous Guy (a song he admitted reminded him of an ex-girlfriend) at his first audition this series. Cheryl and Mel B got up and danced for Simon during his arena audition, when he sang Let's Get It On.
He reached the Judges' Houses in 2012, but Louis didn't put him through. He's since lost three stone in weight.
Chances: He has a brilliant voice, but Mel B has admitted she's worried whether he shows enough personality.
THE OVERS
Mentor: Simon Cowell
Jay James, 31, from Pembrokeshire
Story so far: He sailed through his room audition, moving Mel B to tears, and received a standing ovation at the arena stage.
He disappointed at Judges' Houses though, but Simon put him through.
The Welsh father-of-one joined the Royal Navy when he was 16, injured his knee while playing rugby and discovered his love of music while on sick leave.
Chances: Before Judges' Houses, he was looking like a favourite, but as the pressure's mounted, so have Jay's nerves.
Fleur East, 26, from East London
Story so far: She received lukewarm comments at the first audition but raised her game for the arena stage, and, according to Simon, did the best performance at Judges' Houses.
What we know about her: She was in a girl group called Addictive Ladies, which made it through to the live shows in series two.
Chances: Everything's changed since her rendition of Jessie J's Bang Bang at Simon's house. The former outsider is now in the running.
Ben Haenow, 29, from Croydon
What we know about him: The van driver's proven popular with the judges from the outset, and managed to wow with his version of Wild Horses. He used to be in a rock band with his brother, called The Lost Audio, but quit when his brother became unwell. He surprised his girlfriend with talk of marriage during his first audition.
Chances: He has a rocky, bluesy voice that's gone down well in front of a live audience. His cheeky chappy demeanour will help too.
THE GROUPS
Mentor: Louis Walsh
Only The Young (Charlie, 17, Parisa, 20, Mikey, 19, and Betsy, 18)
The foursome captivated the judges from the first audition with their close chemistry, and Simon said he believed they could win the show after their arena performance.
The four of them all live at Parisa's family home and often sing at the dinner table, which is why they've compared themselves to the von Trapp family.
Chances: The likes of One Direction and Union J have given them the thumbs up, so they just have to hope the viewers do as well.
Blonde Electra (Jazzy, 24, and Ruby, 22)
The sisters got three yeses at their first audition (Cheyl said no), and lost a seat at Boot Camp only for Louis to bring them back.
They've lived in more than 30 countries, speak five languages and, randomly, are related to Chancellor George Osborne.
Chances: The Marmite duo, who recently changed their name from Blonde Electric, are enthusiastic, but their screeching could get a little annoying.
New Boy Band (Charlie, 14, Reece, 16, James, 17, 19-year-olds Barclay, Chris, Casey and Jake, and Tom, 20
These lads entered the competition as soloists but were put together by the judges at Boot Camp.
Viewers are now in charge of giving them a name.
Barclay auditioned as a yodeller last year; Jake's very close to his younger sister who stood next to Simon during his first audition, and Reece once performed Wonderwall with Noel Gallagher.
Chances: They've only been a band for five minutes but so far, it's looking fairly promising, but an eight-piece boy band? It's never been done before, and maybe there's a reason for that.
And in yet another dramatic turn of events, four acts (one from each category) will be given another shot at stardom as wild card entrants when the live finals begin tonight at 8pm. Who might they be?
Lola Saunders, the fishmonger from Southfields, endeared herself to mentor Cheryl but didn't quite beat the nerves at Judges' Houses. Could she be the fourth act in the girls' category?
Mel B was spoilt for choice in her boys' category. Jordan Morris, the Londoner known for his R'n'B style, came oh-so close, so surely he's a favourite to return?
Louis was reduced to tears when rejecting his group acts. It's a tough call, but boy band Concept might reappear, unless the super cute twins The Brooks have been given the nod.
Helen Fulthorpe suffered a panic attack at Simon's house, but you sense the music mogul has a soft spot for the mother-of-two, so it wouldn't be a surprise to see her rejoin The Overs.
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